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NH

NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP (NHC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 net operating revenues were $369.35M (+22.7% y/y), driven by same‑facility growth and the White Oak acquisition; adjusted diluted EPS rose to $1.66 vs $1.03 y/y, while GAAP diluted EPS declined to $0.39 due to unrealized losses in marketable securities .
  • Sequentially, revenues accelerated (Q2→Q3→Q4: $300.66M → $340.20M → $369.35M), with EBIT (operating income) improving to $26.56M and EBIT margin expanding vs Q3 (7.2% in Q4 vs 6.2% in Q3) .
  • No formal guidance provided; the company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.61 per share payable April 25, 2025 (record date March 28, 2025) .
  • NHC does not hold earnings calls, limiting intra‑quarter narrative and Street engagement; consensus estimates for Q4 2024 were unavailable via S&P Global .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong adjusted profitability: Non‑GAAP net income was $25.95M (+62.7% y/y) and adjusted diluted EPS was $1.66 (vs $1.03 y/y), reflecting operational strength excluding marketable securities volatility .
  • Revenue mix and pricing: Net patient revenues reached $357.34M in Q4 (+26.2% y/y), with per diem rates higher across payer categories (Medicare $607.67, Medicaid $279.02, Private Pay $321.12); average skilled nursing per diem rose to $350.72 .
  • Strategic M&A executed: White Oak portfolio acquisition (Aug 1, 2024) added scale across 22 operations and contributed to the revenue step‑up in H2 2024 .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP optics pressured by markets: GAAP diluted EPS fell to $0.39 from $1.83 y/y, primarily due to $25.33M of unrealized losses on marketable equity securities in Q4 (vs $12.00M gains y/y) .
  • Labor cost intensity: Salaries, wages and benefits increased to $234.32M in Q4 (vs $186.56M y/y), reflecting industry‑wide cost pressures and expanded footprint .
  • Limited investor communication: NHC does not host earnings calls, constraining guidance clarity and real‑time color for investors .

Financial Results

Sequential Quarterly Comparison (Q2 2024 → Q3 2024 → Q4 2024)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Operating Revenues and Grant Income ($USD Millions)$300.66 $340.20 $369.35
Net Patient Revenues ($USD Millions)$279.92 $328.67 $357.34
Other Revenues ($USD Millions)$11.30 $11.52 $12.01
Income from Operations ($USD Millions)$22.52 $21.05 $26.56
GAAP Net Income Attributable ($USD Millions)$26.84 $42.79 $6.08
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.73 $2.73 $0.39
Non‑GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$15.61 $19.91 $25.95
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.00 $1.27 $1.66
EBIT Margin % (Income from Ops / Revenues)7.5% (22.52/300.66) 6.2% (21.05/340.20) 7.2% (26.56/369.35)
Net Income Margin % (GAAP NI / Revenues)8.9% (26.84/300.66) 12.6% (42.79/340.20) 1.6% (6.08/369.35)

Year‑over‑Year Comparison (Q4 2023 → Q4 2024)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Net Operating Revenues and Grant Income ($USD Millions)$300.91 $369.35
Net Patient Revenues ($USD Millions)$282.99 $357.34
Other Revenues ($USD Millions)$17.92 $12.01
Income from Operations ($USD Millions)$20.12 $26.56
GAAP Net Income Attributable ($USD Millions)$28.41 $6.08
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.83 $0.39
Non‑GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$15.96 $25.95
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.03 $1.66

Segment/Revenue Mix

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Patient Revenues ($USD Millions)$279.92 $328.67 $357.34
Other Revenues ($USD Millions)$11.30 $11.52 $12.01
Government Stimulus Income ($USD Millions)$9.45 $0.00 $0.00

KPIs – Skilled Nursing Per Diems and Patient Days

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Medicare Per Diem ($)$577.71 $578.12 $607.67
Managed Care Per Diem ($)$447.96 $459.94 $490.41
Medicaid Per Diem ($)$264.49 $290.00 $279.02
Private Pay Per Diem ($)$312.91 $323.36 $321.12
Average Skilled Nursing Per Diem ($)$338.86 $350.85 $350.72
Total Skilled Nursing Patient Days567,297 673,378 728,486
Footnote – Missouri facility exitExit effective Mar 1, 2024 (per diem and days disclosed) Exit highlighted with comparative 2023 metrics Exit highlighted with comparative 2023 metrics

Balance Sheet Highlights (Year‑End 2024)

  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities: $216.19M; Restricted cash and marketable securities: $163.80M; Total assets: $1.52B; Debt: $137.00M; Equity: $980.16M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per Common ShareQ1 2025 (paid in April 2025)N/A$0.61 per share; record 3/28/2025; payable 4/25/2025 Maintained vs Q4 declared per share ($0.61)

No formal revenue/margin/OpEx/tax guidance was provided in the Q4 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

NHC does not host earnings calls; themes below reflect multi‑quarter operating disclosures.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 and Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
Acquisition/IntegrationWhite Oak closed Aug 1, 2024; 21 operations cited in Q3 materials; revenue step‑up visible White Oak described as 22 operations (incl. LTC pharmacy) contributing to FY growth Scaling contribution ↑
Pricing/Per DiemsAverage per diem rose to $338.86 (Q2); payer‑mix per diems up Average per diem rose to $350.85 (Q3) Average per diem at $350.72 (Q4)
Volume/Patient Days567,297 (Q2) total days 673,378 (Q3) 728,486 (Q4)
Labor CostsSalaries/wages: $180.08M (Q2) $213.40M (Q3) $234.32M (Q4)
Portfolio ActionsMissouri SNF exit noted across disclosures (context for comps) Missouri SNF exit reiterated with Q4 comps Portfolio optimization ongoing

Management Commentary

  • “Net operating revenues and grant income for the year ended December 31, 2024 totaled $1,307,382,000… due to a 9.4% increase in same‑facility net operating revenues, as well as the August 1, 2024 acquisition of White Oak Manor.” .
  • “For the quarter ended December 31, 2024, adjusted net income… was $25,954,000 compared to $15,955,000 for the same period in 2023, an increase of 62.7%.” .
  • White Oak operations consist of 22 healthcare operations, including 15 SNFs, two assisted living, four independent living facilities, and a long‑term care pharmacy .

Q&A Highlights

  • NHC does not hold earnings calls; there was no Q4 2024 Q&A, and thus no management guidance clarifications or tone signals in a call format .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates for Q4 2024 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) were unavailable via S&P Global; NHC’s practice of not hosting earnings calls may contribute to limited Street coverage for intra‑quarter estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core operations strong on an adjusted basis: Q4 adjusted diluted EPS of $1.66 and non‑GAAP net income of $25.95M underscore underlying momentum despite GAAP volatility from marketable securities .
  • Sequential acceleration: Net operating revenues climbed each quarter in 2024 H2, reaching $369.35M in Q4; patient days and per diem rates support the top‑line step‑up .
  • Cost vigilance needed: Salaries/wages rose to $234.32M in Q4; margin expansion vs Q3 came from revenue scale, but labor inflation remains a watch item for FY25 .
  • Portfolio scaling: White Oak integration broadened footprint and contributed to revenue growth; continued integration execution is a medium‑term driver .
  • Balance sheet: Year‑end cash and marketable securities of $216.19M, restricted of $163.80M, and $137.00M debt support flexibility for operations and selective investments .
  • Communication gap: No earnings call limits near‑term narrative catalysts; dividend continuity ($0.61 per share for Q1 2025) offers income visibility while fundamentals drive medium‑term thesis .
  • Focus areas: Monitor payer‑mix/pricing, labor cost containment, and realized vs unrealized investment impacts given marketable securities sensitivity to GAAP EPS optics .

Notes: All figures are GAAP unless otherwise noted; non‑GAAP reconciliations provided by NHC. Year‑over‑year comps incorporate the Missouri SNF exit and White Oak acquisition dynamics disclosed in the company’s releases .